Gigabit Ethernet product shipments to explode

April 1, 1997

Gigabit Ethernet product shipments to explode

Shipments of Gigabit Ethernet adapter cards are expected to begin in 1998. At that time, approximately 21,000 units are forecast to be shipped at an average selling price of $1200. According to the $850 report High-Speed Datacom Chipsets: Products, Applications, and Markets, published by The Information Network, Williamsburg, VA, the price is figured to drop sharply to $720 by the year 2000. This is projected to push the Gigabit Ethernet market to $1.4 billion, or 1.94 million units shipped.

More than 655,000 100Base-T adapter cards priced at $370 each and 218,000 100VG-Anylan adapter cards at $165 each were installed in 1995. These cards generated revenues of $247.9 million for 100Base-T and $36.3 million for 100VG-Anylan.

From 1995 to 2000, shipments of 100Base-T and 100VG-Anylan adapter cards are anticipated to exhibit a compound annual growth rate (cagr) of 80.6% and -46.1%, respectively. The total number of units shipped is 14.82 million. Prices for both card types are estimated to decrease by more than 11% over that time and generate sales of $2.64 billion.

Call (757) 258-3738 or fax (757) 258-3820 for more information.

Premises fiber market to soar

U.S. sales of fiber-optic cables to businesses and residences are predicted to grow from $460 million in 1996 to $2.1 billion by 2001, at a compound annual growth rate (cagr) of 35%. However, the business use of these cables accounts for nearly the entire in-building market during that time. In 1996, residential fiber premises networks barely made 0.2% of the total market, and should edge up to only 0.5% by 2001. This data comes from the $3495 report Customer Premise Fiber: The Business and Residential Inside Wiring Revolution in Global Markets 1996-2001, issued by Insight Research Corp., in Livingston, NJ.

The data covers all the fiber cables used inside buildings and homes and all of the passive connecting devices installed in telecommunications closets, workstations, and home equivalents. It does not cover active electronics equipment.

The total worldwide premises fiber market is projected to climb from $1.5 billion in 1996 to $7.6 billion by 2001. The North and South American markets stand at about $532 million, or 37% of the total worldwide market, in 1996 and should swell to $2.4 billion in 2001, or 32% of the total. Asia, the largest market, is predicted to grow from $626 million in 1996, or 43% of the total worldwide market, to $3.95 billion in 2001, or 52% of the total. Europe is estimated at $292 million in 1996, or 20% of the total worldwide market, and is expected to climb to $1.24 billion in 2001, or 16% of the total.

For more information, call (201) 605-1400 or fax (201) 605-1440.

Singlemode fiber-optic interconnect hardware market to double

In 1996, the North American market for singlemode fiber-optic interconnect hardware was $286.6 million. This includes the sales of singlemode unmounted/field-installed plugs, cable assemblies, wall- and rack-mount panels, shelves, distribution frames, and other accessories such as unmounted sleeves and attenuators. In its $5495 report North American Market for Single-Mode Fiberoptic Interconnect Hardware, Kessler Marketing Intelligence Corp., Newport, RI, forecasts that this market is estimated to grow at a compound annual growth rate (cagr) of 9.8%, to $457.6 million from 1996 to 2001.

In 1996, U.S. sales of interconnect products totaled 90% of the North American market, with Canada at 6% and Mexico at 4%. As the largest users of singlemode interconnect hardware, the large telephone companies and cable-TV operators have committed to upgrading their networks with hybrid fiber-optic/coaxial-cable networks.

More than nine million singlemode connectors were installed in North America during 1996, representing 40% of singlemode plugs installed worldwide. By 2001, the volume of singlemode connectors installed in North America is estimated at 18.6 million units at an average annual growth rate of 15%. Sales of connector and cable assemblies with terminated ends--and excluding cables--are predicted to increase from $108 million in 1995 to $177 million in 2001, at a cagr of 8.3%.

Call (401) 849-6771 for more information.

High-speed networking technology markets to climb sharply

According to a recent report from the Business Communications Co., in Norwalk, CT, the worldwide market for high-speed networking technologies is expected to grow more than sevenfold, from $51.46 billion in 1995 to $370.21 in 2001, at an average annual growth rate (aagr) of 37%. The technologies covered in the report, High-Speed Networking Technologies (RG-195), include Asynchronous Transfer Mode, 100VG-Anylan, 100Base-T, frame relay, Integrated Services Digital Network, switched multimegabit data service, and Synchronous Optical Network/ Synchronous Digital Hierarchy in combined equipment and services.

The U.S. market is projected to grow from $8.46 billion in 1995 to $88.26 billion in 2001--an aagr of 37%. Europe, the largest market, accounted for almost $15 billion in 1995, and is anticipated to surge to $113 by 2001 at an aagr of 40%. The Far East racked up $10.5 billion in sales in 1995 and is calculated to zoom to $60 billion in 2001 at an aagr of 30%. Australia and New Zealand formed a $2 billion market in 1995 and are figured to jump to $15.05 billion in 2001 at an aagr of 40%.

Other Asian countries such as India are also experiencing high growth rates. These countries are expected to create a market of $7.5 billion in 1995 that should skyrocket to $45.4 billion in 2001 at an aagr of 40%. South American markets represented an $8 billion market in 1995 and are gauged to grow rapidly to $48.6 billion in 2001 at an aagr of 35%.

Call (203) 853-4266 or fax (203) 853-0348 for more information about the report, which costs $2950.

North American premises wiring systems market to rise

In 1996, the North American premises wiring market totaled $2.3 billion, as recorded in the $2395 report Premises Wiring System Markets, published by Frost & Sullivan, New York City. Of that total, transmission media accounted for $1.44 billion and connecting hardware, $1.08 billion. By the year 2003, the total premises wiring systems market is projected to advance to $4.38 billion, with transmission media at $2.52 billion and connecting hardware at $1.86 billion.

Transmission media include data and voice-grade unshielded twisted-pair copper, shielded twisted-pair copper, coaxial- copper cables, and composite copper and fiber-optic cables. Connecting hardware consists of connecting blocks, wiring outlets, patch panels, baluns, connectors, conduits, and raceways.

Major technology trends include the development of structured cabling systems or end-to-end solutions, the move toward cabling system upgrades, the demand for higher capacity, the anticipation of expanding future needs, and the requirements to adapt to higher-data-rate technologies such as Asynchronous Transfer Mode.

Call (212) 964-7000 or fax (212) 619-0831 for more information about the report. q

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