Market research firm Dell'Oro Group says it expects total global optical transport equipment revenue to grow to $17.3 billion over the next 5 years. WDM revenues will lead the way with a 12 percent CAGR over the same period.
"We're forecasting DWDM long-haul and WDM metro revenues to grow at a faster rate than the broader optical market, which is weighed down a bit by the declining demand for traditional SONET and SDH multiplexers," said Jimmy Yu, senior director of optical transport research at Dell'Oro Group.
"DWDM systems are in high demand as an increasing amount of network capacity is required each year,” Yu adds. “In our latest study of the optical transport market, we concluded that to economically grow network capacity, there is a need to increase deployments of higher-speed optical wavelengths such as 40 and 100 gigabit. We therefore raised our forecast and now project that in the total WDM market, which includes both metro and long haul, 40-gigabit wavelength shipments will grow at a CAGR of over 40 percent and the recently available 100-gigabit wavelengths will grow at a CAGR over 200 percent.
“By 2015, the combined 40 and 100 gigabit wavelengths may contribute up to $4.7 billion of optical revenue," Yu concluded.
The Dell'Oro Group 5-Year Forecast Report offers an overview of the optical transport industry with tables covering manufacturers' revenue, average selling prices, unit shipments, and tributary/line or wavelength shipments (by speed up to 100 Gbps).
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