Dell'Oro: PON market bucks economy, grows in 2009 and beyond
JULY 28, 2009 -- Dell'Oro Group says that it expects worldwide combined sales for DSL, cable, and PON access equipment will decline in 2009. However, PON revenues are expected to grow each year throughout the forecast period.
JULY 28, 2009 -- Market research firm Dell'Oro Group (search Lightwave for Dell'Oro Group) says that it expects worldwide combined sales for DSL, cable, and PON access equipment, including both access concentrators and CPE, will decline 10 percent in 2009 to $8.7 billion. However, PON revenues are expected to grow each year throughout the forecast period.
Dell'Oro previously had noted strong PON sales in the first quarter of this year (see "Dell'Oro: PON market shines in Q1").
Looking at the combined market overall, a slight overall market recovery is expected in 2010 before gradually declining thereafter through 2013. While PON revenues will grow, according to Dell'Oro, cable revenues are forecasted to be relatively flat and DSL revenues are forecasted to fall significantly lower by 2013.
"PON is the bright spot in the access market in 2009 and is expected to remain so throughout our forecast horizon," said Tam Dell'Oro, founder of Dell'Oro Group. "We expect growth to be fueled by rapidly increasing PON deployments in China, as well as increasing numbers and size of GPON deployments around the world driven by service providers who need to upgrade their access networks in order to be able to deliver new revenue generating services such as TV over broadband."
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