10G PON to drive PON sales to $7.3 billion by 2023: Dell’Oro
Operators worldwide will spend $7.3 billion on PON equipment by 2023, according to Dell’Oro Group. Interest in 10G PON, particularly XGS-PON, will drive many of these sales, according to the market research firms latest “Broadband Access 5-Year Forecast Report.”
“Fiber deployments continue to expand around the world, thanks to increased competition and an improved funding environment for both public and private networks,” commented Jeff Heynen, research director at Dell’Oro Group. “Today’s XGS-PON trials are quickly moving to production deployments, positioning operators to compete with cable DOCSIS 3.1 networks.”
Those DOCSIS networks are undergoing a transition that will affect broadband infrastructure spending among cable operators, according to the report. Dell’Oro expects global spending on cable infrastructure will reach a comparatively small $1.6 billion by 2023, thanks to a change in focus from the Converged Cable Access Platform (CCAP) purchases that have enabled DOCSIS 3.1 to Distributed Access Architecture (DAA) deployments designed to make hybrid fiber/coax networks more efficient, albeit more fiber heavy.
Meanwhile, copper broadband access opportunities continue to shrink, with ADSL and conventional VDSL port shipments declining. While operators have rolled out VDSL Profile 35b and Gfast technology to leverage existing copper plant, Dell’Oro says that some major Gfast deployments have already started to slow as more operators increase their fiber broadband infrastructure investments.
The Dell’Oro Group “Broadband Access 5-Year Forecast Report” offers an overview of the broadband access market with tables covering manufacturers’ revenue, average selling prices, and port/unit shipments for cable, DSL, and PON equipment. Network infrastructure equipment covered includes cable modem termination systems (CMTS), DSL Access Multiplexers (DSLAMs) by technology (ADSL, ADSL2+, G.SHDSL, VDSL, Gfast), and PON optical line terminals (OLTs). Customer premises equipment (CPE) technology coverage reflects voice-over-IP (VoIP) or data-only.
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Stephen Hardy | Editorial Director and Associate Publisher, Lightwave
Stephen Hardy is editorial director and associate publisher of Lightwave and Broadband Technology Report, part of the Lighting & Technology Group at Endeavor Business Media. Stephen is responsible for establishing and executing editorial strategy across the both brands’ websites, email newsletters, events, and other information products. He has covered the fiber-optics space for more than 20 years, and communications and technology for more than 35 years. During his tenure, Lightwave has received awards from Folio: and the American Society of Business Press Editors (ASBPE) for editorial excellence. Prior to joining Lightwave in 1997, Stephen worked for Telecommunications magazine and the Journal of Electronic Defense.
Stephen has moderated panels at numerous events, including the Optica Executive Forum, ECOC, and SCTE Cable-Tec Expo. He also is program director for the Lightwave Innovation Reviews and the Diamond Technology Reviews.
He has written numerous articles in all aspects of optical communications and fiber-optic networks, including fiber to the home (FTTH), PON, optical components, DWDM, fiber cables, packet optical transport, optical transceivers, lasers, fiber optic testing, and more.
You can connect with Stephen on LinkedIn as well as Twitter.