Next-generation PON sales to grow at a 40% CAGR to 2022: Dell’Oro

Dell’Oro Group predicts that sales of next-generation PON gear will increase at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 40% from 2017 to 2022. The growth will drive overall PON sales worldwide to more than $7 billion by 2022, the market research firm says in its newly released “Broadband Access 5-Year Forecast Report.”

Dell’Oro Group predicts that sales of next-generation PON gear will increase at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 40% from 2017 to 2022. The growth will drive overall PON sales worldwide to more than $7 billion by 2022, the market research firm says in its newly released “Broadband Access 5-Year Forecast Report.”

“Where PON technologies are used for residential broadband services, 2.5-Gbps GPON will remain as the dominant technology due to its lower price and sufficient speeds,” explains Alam Tamboli, senior analyst at Dell’Oro Group. “However, for a number of growing use cases such as business services and mobile backhaul, next-generation PON technologies have capacities and capabilities that current generation technologies lack.”

Such next-gen platforms include 10G-EPON, XGS-PON, and NG-PON2. “10-Gbps EPON has already begun shipping strongly in China, where current generation PON is widely deployed,” Tamboli continued. “Shipments of XGS-PON and NG-PON2 remain small for now, but we anticipate that XGS-PON will grow more rapidly. XGS-PON and its 10-Gbps symmetric bandwidth should meet operators’ needs for business services and mobile backhaul.”

The Dell’Oro Group “Broadband Access 5-Year Forecast Report” provides an overview of the broadband access market with tables covering manufacturers’ revenue, average selling prices, and port/unit shipments for Cable, DSL, and PON equipment. Network infrastructure equipment includes cable modem termination systems (CMTS); digital subscriber line access multiplexers (DSLAMs) by technology, including ADSL, ADSL2+, G.SHDSL, VDSL, and Gfast; and PON optical line terminals (OLTs). Customer premises equipment (CPE) technology covered in the report reflects voice-over-IP (VoIP) or data-only.

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