He added that while hyperscaler CapEx was at under 9% of revenues, it has grown to over 16% in just the first half of 2025, “which “represents a huge growth in investments, but it isn’t out of the ordinary for infrastructure–heavy industries.”
A similar situation exists in the traditional telco space. While telcos worldwide are seeing slow revenue growth, CapEx spending remained in the 16-18% range.
Dinsdale said that these factors “suggest hyperscalers can comfortably accommodate the increased spending on AI infrastructure."
Cloud services drive
A big factor in hyperscale operator revenues is the advent of cloud-based services.
IaaS, PaaS, SaaS, social media, and search – reached $301 billion in the second quarter, having doubled from the first quarter of 2021.
During the last eight quarters, which Synergy calls the GenAI period, year-on-year revenue growth from those key digital services has averaged 18%.
The research firm estimates that GenAI technology is driving an incremental $50 billion in quarterly revenues for hyperscalers, “over and above the growth that those services were already enjoying.”
However, the $50 billion number is rapidly rising. GenAI-specific IaaS and PaaS service revenues, for example, are currently growing by over 150% year-on-year.
Supporting AI-based services
A big focus for hyperscale CapEX will be to accommodate the growth of AI-oriented services.
Synergy pointed to its analysis and tracking data through covering 20 of the world’s major cloud and internet service firms, which account for the bulk of IT service revenues, spending on IT hardware, and data center capacity.
This group of companies accounts for the bulk of IT service revenues, spending on IT hardware, and data center capacity.
Together, these providers now have 1,244 hyperscale data centers in operation worldwide. But according to Synergy, there are another 527 in the research firm’s known future pipeline.
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