DCI pushes optical demand to grow 16% in 2026

New research from Dell’Oro notes that optical vendors saw double-digit revenues in WDM and IPoDWDM modules.

Key Highlights

  • The optical transport market is forecasted to surpass $18 billion in 2026, marking a significant rebound since 2000, driven by AI data center infrastructure needs.
  • Demand for DCI and optical wavelengths surged 20% year-over-year in Q1 2026, with direct purchases for DCI increasing by an estimated 40%.
  • Leading vendors like Ciena and Nokia reported strong growth, with Ciena's optical segment rising nearly 68%, and Nokia's optical networks growing 20%.
  • Marvell and Cisco lead in IPoDWDM ZR/ZR+ segments, with Marvell’s revenue up 42% in 2026, and Cisco raising AI order forecasts to $9 billion for FY26.
  • Regional growth varies, with North America, Europe, and MEA expanding, while Asia Pacific and Latin America experienced declines, highlighting regional market dynamics.

It’s hard not to see how the AI data center build-out boom, with its growing data center interconnection (DCI) demands, continues to influence the optical networking manufacturing industry. 

A new Dell’Oro Group report revealed that the optical transport equipment market is forecast to grow 16 percent in 2026, surpassing $18 billion in manufacturer revenue for the first time since 2000, driven by rising demand for network infrastructure from AI data centers.

“We raised our full year 2026 forecast from 10 percent to 16 percent following standout results in the first quarter of 2026,” said Jimmy Yu, VP at Dell’Oro Group.

DCI demands jump

As hyperscaler data center providers look to facilities in new markets, they are also procuring either dark fiber or managed circuits, such as optical wavelengths, from service providers.

In tandem with new fiber and managed services into data centers for DCI, the optical transport market grew 20 percent year-over-year in 1Q 2026, driven by double-digit revenue increases in both WDM Systems and IPoDWDM ZR/ZR+ optical pluggable modules.

Also, revenue tied to direct purchases for DCI grew an estimated 40 percent year over year.

“We estimate that the Optical Transport market grew 20 percent year-over-year in the first quarter of this year, driven by demand for data center interconnect,” Yu said. “However, many key optical suppliers are noting a growing backlog of orders as lead times continue to stretch out.”

He added that “supply may be the biggest factor keeping the Optical Transport market’s growth rate from being even higher this year due to all the AI data center build-outs.”

While it’s clear that DCI builds continue to ramp, there were regional differences in growth. North America, Europe, and the Middle East Africa (MEA) regions grew year-over-year, while Asia Pacific and Latin America declined.

Five vendor leaders

The optical transport systems market — which consists of two segments: optical transport systems and IPoDWDM ZR/ZR+ — continues to be dominated by five vendors.

On a four-quarter basis, the top Optical Transport Systems vendors with over 80 percent combined revenue share were Huawei, Ciena, Nokia, and ZTE.

Ciena and Nokia continued to report optical growth. While Ciena won’t report its second-quarter earnings until June 4, the company reported in its first-quarter results that the optical networking segment rose 67.9% to $1.02 billion, driven by Waveserver and RLS product lines.

Likewise, Nokia Network Infrastructure net sales grew 6%, with Optical Networks growing 20% to $955 million, supported by the demand for its optical network products, which continues to grow primarily driven by AI and cloud.

For IPoDWDM ZR/ZR+, the lead vendors were Marvell and Cisco Acacia.

Marvell reported fourth-quarter revenue of $2.22 billion, up 22% year-on-year. For fiscal 2026, Marvell’s revenue was $8.2 billion, growing 42% year-over-year, driven by robust AI demand. 

Cisco, meanwhile, reported third-quarter total product orders were up 35% year over year, or up 19% excluding hyperscalers. It raised expected hyperscaler AI orders to $9 billion in FY26, up from $5 billion.

Within Cisco Acacia, orders exceeded $1 billion in Q3, up triple digits year-over-year, well ahead of the Fiscal Year 2025 quarterly order run-rate. A major contributor to growth was demonstrated by the number of coherent port shipments to date: over 750,000 units shipped for 400G ports and over 40,000 units shipped for 800G ports.

Cisco said Acacia’s results “reflect the transition to coherent pluggables, which offer high cost and power savings, and “we’re seeing significant traction in 800G-ZR with one hyperscaler.”

For related articles, visit the Optical Topic Center.
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About the Author

Sean Buckley

Sean is responsible for establishing and executing the editorial strategy of Lightwave across its website, email newsletters, events, and other information products.

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